The net purchase of southbound funds reached 5 billion yuan.Scientific and technological innovation leads the high-quality development of the economy, and the 100tf (588,190) of Science and Technology Innovation may meet the layout window period. By midday on December 13th, the 100tf (588,190) of Science and Technology Innovation had fallen by 2.08%, with a turnover of 181 million yuan. The constituent stocks are mixed. In terms of rising, Alice led the rise, and Hengxuan Technology followed suit. In terms of decline, Guo Dun Quantum led the decline, while Core Source followed slightly. In the news, from December 11th to 12th, the Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing, which made a systematic plan for next year's economic work. Regarding the highlights of the conference, CITIC Jiantou said that "scientific and technological innovation" ranked first in the ranking of key tasks last year, and it was divided into independent segments and listed a number of emerging technologies, industries and tracks in a large space. This year's science and technology-related expressions focus on "artificial intelligence+",and we expect "AI+" to be the core variety of future science and technology themes. In addition, scientific and technological innovation is in the big paragraph of "new quality productivity" this year, ranking second in all key tasks. Wanlian Securities said that scientific and technological innovation is the vanguard to lead the high-quality economic development, and it is also the only way for the transformation and upgrading of traditional industries, emerging industries and future industries to grow and develop.The USD/JPY just broke through the 153.00 mark, and the latest price was 153.01, up 0.25% in the day.
Ocean Shipping Group: In the first 11 months, it achieved sales of 30.6 billion yuan. On December 12, Ocean Shipping Group (03377.HK) released unaudited operation data. In November, the company achieved an accumulated sales of about 3.73 billion yuan. The agreed sales floor area is about 346,300 square meters; The average agreed sales price is 10,800 yuan per square meter. In the first 11 months of this year, COSCO achieved a cumulative agreed sales of about 30.6 billion yuan; The cumulative agreed floor area is about 2,544,100 square meters; The cumulative average agreed sales price is about 12,000 yuan per square meter.Argentina made the final verdict of sunset review of anti-dumping against China's spring shock absorbers. According to China Trade Relief Information Network, on December 12, the Argentine Ministry of Economic Affairs issued Announcement No.1364 in 2024, which made the negative final verdict of the first sunset review of anti-dumping on spring shock absorbers originating in China, including single shock absorber components, used in motorcycles and bicycles equipped with auxiliary engines with or without buckets, and decided not to continue to impose anti-dumping duties on the products involved. The announcement shall take effect as of the date of promulgation. This case involves the products under the tax numbers of 8714.10.00 and 8714.99.90 of the Southern Communist Party.Ye Fan, Southwest Securities: In 2025, the upward trend of domestic economy will continue, and it is estimated that the annual RRR will be lowered by about 100bp. The Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. Ye Fan, chief economist of Southwest Securities, said that in 2025, the domestic economy will continue to stabilize and upward under the policy. From the structural point of view, infrastructure and manufacturing investment are expected to remain the main support items for domestic investment next year, and the decline in real estate investment will gradually narrow; Domestic demand is expected to play a stronger role in stimulating the economy than external demand, and domestic residents' consumption is expected to continue to pick up under the policy. Regarding the direction of fiscal and monetary policies, Ye Fan predicted that the issuance scale of ultra-long-term special government bonds will be around 1.5 trillion -2 trillion yuan in 2025, and it will continue to support the "dual" areas. In the first half of next year or the peak of government bond issuance, there may be a RRR cut for hedging. It is estimated that the RRR cut will be about 100bp for the whole year, and the interest rate cut will be decided by camera. The interest rate cut of 25bp-40bp may be promoted step by step.
"Black Myth: Wukong" won the TGA2024 Player's Voice Award.Market News: Indonesia's central bank has made triple intervention to maintain market confidence in the Indonesian rupiah.According to CITIC Securities, it is necessary for deficit ratio to rise to nearly 4%, and mortgage interest rates is expected to fall further. According to Yicai, the Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing on December 11th and 12th. Regarding what it means to change the tone of fiscal policy from "positive" to "more positive", the chief economist of CITIC Securities clearly said that I think it means that the whole fiscal policy will be further expanded next year. First of all, from the perspective of deficit ratio, our deficit ratio is 3% this year and 3% at the beginning of last year. However, we had a special budget adjustment at the end of last year, so the deficit ratio from the end of last year to the end of last year was actually 3.8%. Looking forward to next year, we think that the ratio that may be close to 4% should be the effect that everyone expects to achieve at present. In terms of monetary policy, we can see a series of monetary policies, including further relaxing some restrictions on purchase restriction and loan restriction, including the down payment ratio, and a particularly important one is to reduce the mortgage interest rates. I think these monetary policies will be further promoted in the future, and even further declined in mortgage interest rates, for example.
Strategy guide
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide 12-14